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CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on.Ministry of National Defense: There is no need for the Japanese side to be frightened. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released news about the recent military-related issues. Reporter: Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao recently delivered a policy address, saying that the current international order is facing major challenges. Chinese aircraft carriers sail in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft have conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. What is China's comment on this? Wu Qian: The so-called "China military threat" was hyped by the Japanese side only to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and returning to the old road of military expansion. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. The publication of these data just proves that the Japanese side has been tracking, monitoring and interfering with Chinese ships and aircraft at close range for a long time, endangering the safety of Chinese ships and aircraft and easily causing sea and air safety problems. In recent years, despite the opposition of the international community, Japan has gone further and further on the road of military expansion, which has aroused strong concern among neighboring countries and the international community. We urge Japan to draw lessons from history, be cautious in the field of military security and do more things that are conducive to maintaining regional peace and stability. China is willing to continue to maintain communication with Japan on properly handling air and sea emergencies, and hopes that Japan will move in the same direction with China, take the overall situation into consideration, take the right path, and jointly safeguard the stability of the air and sea situation and the overall situation of Sino-Japanese relations.Bank of Japan: The confidence index of large manufacturers rose to the highest level since March 2022.

The fifth district of Beijing issued a blue warning of strong winds. At present, Yanqing District, Mentougou District, Haidian District, Changping District and Fangshan District of Beijing have issued blue warnings of strong winds.China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.CITIC Jiantou: The Matthew effect of the property insurance industry is expected to be further highlighted. CITIC Jiantou said that the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau recently issued the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, Promoting Reform and Promoting the High-quality Development of the Property Insurance Industry. In terms of comprehensive supervision and strict supervision, the Action Plan proposes to improve the quality and effectiveness of property insurance supervision from strengthening market access and exit supervision, promoting hierarchical and classified supervision, strictly rectifying illegal activities, and improving prudential supervision system and rules. In terms of effectively preventing and resolving risks, the Action Plan proposes to enhance the ability of risk prevention and resolution of the property insurance industry by enhancing the ability of capital replenishment and improving the monitoring and early warning system, and proposes to encourage mergers and acquisitions of property insurance companies. Deepen reform and promote opening up, and propose to guide property insurance institutions to position their development, accelerate business transformation and upgrading, enhance risk management capabilities, and promote high-level opening up. On the whole, the Action Plan will help to prevent and resolve risks in the property insurance industry, lay a foundation and provide guidance for the high-quality development of the industry, and the Matthew effect of the industry is expected to be further highlighted.

China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.The market demand for large-size OLEDs has significantly improved, and the industrial chain has made great efforts to break through bottlenecks such as materials. According to the Securities Daily, on December 12th, Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. officially launched the new MatePad Pro, which uses a 13.2-inch large-size flexible OLED screen. "In recent years, the application scenarios of OLED screens have become more and more extensive, especially the application of large-size OLED screens has shown a rapid growth trend, which will drive the relevant needs of the industrial chain." Ding Bingzhong, a partner of Shanghai Jimao Asset Management Co., Ltd., said in an interview. In the industry's view, the shipments of large-size OLED panels are rising, mainly due to the growing demand for artificial intelligence, games and high-end laptops. The continuous expansion of large-size OLED applications will also drive the demand for OLED materials to increase. "It should be noted that at present, China's OLED materials have not been fully localized, especially the localization rate of terminal materials is still relatively low." Ding Bingzhong said.The yield of China's 10-year government bonds fell below 1.80% at the beginning of the session, hitting a new record low.